Australian markets are wobbling ahead of the latest GDP read on Wednesday which pretty much everyone now reckons will likely show a fourth straight quarter of negative economic growth.

At 12.15pm on Tuesday March 5, the benchmark ASX200 (XJO) was 5 points or 0.058% lower at 7,731.3.

Via Google


The ASX…

The numbers speak for themselves on Tuesday.

So why not start with some digits interesting enough for me to call Stockhead’s own Rob Badman, the baddest human in this story.

Bitcoin is on an absolutely vertical rise these days, its rapid ascent to fresh and freaky new riches is something Rob told me to “not worry about”, “if it gets serious, I’ll tell you,” “I’ll handle crypto” “Get out of my lane, grandma!” and “hey Christian, maybe you should focus more on work, than setting my daily agenda.” Also, but unrelated: “pass the spam, or you’ll find out who I am!”

Now that BTC’s getting close to snapping its all-time high, I just thought I’d remind him – and myself – of that moment about four or five months ago… right about when the emotional and rational tide was turning.

Also he’s ruined The A-Team for all of us. And he owes me a beer. And he could work on his people skills.

But back to work, the big name cryptocurrency overnight added another 8% climb to clock US$67,310, (well above its US$44k valuation at the start of the year), and less than US$2,000 away from whipping its November 2021 record high of around US$69,000. (There is an excellent chance it is now at least obliged to go to US$69,420.)

Local shares were subdued for the opening hour of the day before some lovely choppy trade blew in from the south.

The spanner in the clam is cunning work from my old mates at Agence France Presse who got their hands on an official copy of the key Chinese government work report which says Beijing is setting a a 5% GDP target when the National People’s Congress goes ahead later today.

The figure is low-balling.

But does that mean good or bad news for Australian miners?

For the most part trade here in Sydney  tracked some tepid trade on global equity markets overnight as investors dog paddle ahead of economic data and central bank signals later this week.

The Healthcare Sector is ahead after the federal government confirmed insurance premiums will rise from April. materials are also ahead, although lithium stocks aren’t part of that push.  Pilbara Minerals (ASX:PLS) is making me seasick. Down 5.5%.

Gold stocks are bold, like the price, and the iron ore biggies are ahead.

BHP (ASX:BHP) gained 1.1% by lunch and that’s helped offset some losses. Fortescue (ASX:FMG) added 2.7% and Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) gained 2.1 per cent.

EU shares hit another record high, but then gave away a fair few of those gains.

Wall Street’s main indices struggled to gain traction as many Mega Tech stocks wilted under rising treasury yields.

Nvidia did not, if you were wondering.

Apple fell after European regulators fined the company US$2bn for preventing Spotify and other music streaming services from informing users of payment options outside of its App Store.


ASX Sectors at Lunch on Tuesday

Via MarketIndex


I’m going Ex-Dividend (so are these stocks)…

Coles Group (ASX:COL) is paying 36 cents fully franked
Endeavour Group (ASX:EDV) is paying 14.3 cents fully franked
Embark Education Group (ASX:EVO) is paying 1.5 cents fully franked
Heartland Group (ASX:HGH) is paying 3.764 cents unfranked
Iluka Resources (ASX:ILU) is paying 4 cents fully franked
Kina Securities (ASX:KSL) is paying 5.1 cents unfranked
Lynch Group (ASX:LGL) is paying 4 cents fully franked
Lovisa Holdings (ASX:LOV) is paying 50 cents 30 per cent franked
Orora (ASX:ORA) is paying 5 cents unfranked
Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) is paying 27.5 cents fully franked
Pengana Capital Group (ASX:PCG) is paying 1 cent fully franked
Qualitas (ASX:QAL) is paying 1.1285 cents unfranked
Qube Logistics (ASX:QUB) is paying 4 cents fully franked
Sequoia Financial Group (ASX:SEQ) is paying 2 cents fully franked
SG Fleet (ASX:SGF) is paying 9.6 cents fully franked
Veem (ASX:VEE) is paying 0.77 cents unfranked
Worley (ASX:WOR) is paying 25 cents unfranked
WOTSO Property (ASX:WOT) is paying 1 cent unfranked


Elon goes to court…

You probably already know that everyone’s favourite renegade Republican entrepreneur billionaire technologist Mr Elon Musk is suing the pants off OpenAI, alleging the ChatGPT maker is “putting profit before humanity.”

Now the billionaire – who lost his top spot on the Forbes Richest list overnight – is facing a US$130m lawsuit from a handful of former Twitter execs led by ex-CEO Parag Agrawal and former CFO Ned Segal who allege Elon was both really, unfairly mean and also failed to pay them about half a billion US dollarbucks in unpaid severance, after Elon bought the social network and fired all the losers.

Elon probably fired these guys after getting the cheque for $44bn in 2022. At the time, Elon said he didn’t have to pay severance because they all got fired.

The suit follows a diff legal complaint filed last year by the rest of the Twitter ex-employees – those guys are also seeking half a billion US dollarbucks in unpaid severance.

Meanwhile, the same lawyers who had Elon’s US$56bn Tesla pay package nixed in a Delaware court are reportedly asking to have their legal fees paid via US$6bn of Tesla stock.

Forbes is saying attorneys for the Tesla investor who challenged Musk’s executive-compensation award – the largest ever given to a corporate titan – filed the request Friday in the same Delaware  court.

Finally, Tesla dropped more than 7% after announcing new price discounts and incentives late last week.

Tesla has shipped 60,365 vehicles from its China factory in February, according to preliminary Chinese industry data, the lowest such figure since December 2022 and down almost 16% month-on-month.

That’s what cost Elon his richest dude tag.

That’ll do for now.


Not the ASX…

Wall Street made a bit of a tactical retreat overnight although Wall Street still seems to be enthusiastic about Monday’s session. The AI festival apparently remains in full swing.

The S&P 500 shed 0.12% to 5,130.95, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.41% to 16,207.51. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 97.55 points, or 0.25%, to finish at 38,989.3.

The depth of pain was offset to an extent by more sugar for the AI darling Nvidia. Super Micro Computer soared 18% after S&P Dow Jones Indices announced it would join the S&P 500 later this month.

Actually, a fair few of the BTC-focused stocks, including Coinbase, also rose in anticipation as the  cryptocurrency nears its 2021 all-time high.

But on the side of the Mega Tech ledger, Apple fell 2.5% after getting hit with an EU antitrust fine of about US$2bn.

The iPhone maker was accused of ruining competition for other music streaming rivals.

Outside of the punchy tech players Ford added more than 2% on the back of strong sales.

Eh. The big US retailer Macy’s soared more than 13.5% after twin raiders Arkhouse Management and Brigade Capital Management increased their buyout offer by a stonking 33%.

Meanwhile, the airlines JetBlue rose more than 4%, while Spirit Airlines crashed more than 10% after killing plans to merge overnight, weeks after losing a federal antitrust lawsuit that jeopardised the $3.8-billion deal.

Among the US sectors, Utilities was the best and Comms Services was the worst.

We’re listening this week for hints about the future trajectory of US rates with a fair bit of Fedspeak and testimony from US Federal Chair J. Powell to the House of Reps on Wednesday and the US Senate on Thursday.

The ADP Employment Survey and January job openings data will be released on Wednesday, providing further insight into the labour market.

Manufacturing and non-farm payrolls data for February are due Friday

US Earnings will not end…

Target (TGT), NIO (NIO), Ross Stores (ROST), Nordstrom (JWN), CrowdStrike (CRWD), and Box (BOX).

Wednesday (JD), Campbell Soup (CPB), Foot Locker (FL), Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), and Victoria’s Secret (VSCO).

Costco (COST), Broadcom (AVGO), Gap (GPS), Marvell Technology (MRVL), and DocuSign (DOCU)

Genesco (GCO) and America’s Car-Mart (CRMT)


US Futures are thusly on Tuesday at lunch in Sydney:


Via Fox



Here are the best performing ASX small cap stocks for 5 March [intraday]:

Swipe or scroll to reveal full table. Click headings to sort:

Code Name Price % Change Volume Market Cap
JAV Javelin Minerals Ltd 0.20 100.00 256,000 $2,176,231
PRX Prodigy Gold NL 0.50 66.67 2,100,077 $5,253,323
AUQ Alara Resources Ltd 5.70 54.05 6,037,324 $26,569,239
PGC Paragon Care Limited 28.00 36.59 6,058,467 $136,912,977
DYM Dynamicmetalslimited 21.50 34.38 8,290,905 $5,760,000
AUH Austchina Holdings 0.40 33.33 9,634,087 $6,233,651
AUK Aumake Limited 0.40 33.33 1,733,238 $5,743,220
TRE Toubani Res Ltd 14.00 33.33 118,995 $14,055,895
WWI West Wits Mining Ltd 1.70 30.77 9,775,177 $31,595,091
AL8 Alderan Resource Ltd 0.50 25.00 6,340,936 $4,427,445
EDE Eden Inv Ltd 0.25 25.00 1,000,000 $7,356,542
PUA Peak Minerals Ltd 0.25 25.00 200,000 $2,082,753
FIN FIN Resources Ltd 1.80 20.00 643,136 $9,739,031
FTC Fintech Chain Ltd 2.40 20.00 80,734 $13,015,392
GCM Green Critical Min 0.60 20.00 526,170 $5,682,925
CYL Catalyst Metals 58.50 17.00 679,494 $110,078,772
TOU Tlou Energy Ltd 3.50 16.67 35,730 $32,296,102
AVE Avecho Biotech Ltd 0.35 16.67 17,125 $9,507,891
LPD Lepidico Ltd 0.70 16.67 74,667 $45,829,848
MHC Manhattan Corp Ltd 0.35 16.67 366,550 $8,810,939
TAR Taruga Minerals 0.70 16.67 449,969 $4,236,161
ARD Argent Minerals 1.10 15.79 2,711,555 $12,271,711
CL8 Carly Holdings Ltd 2.20 15.79 55,347 $5,099,037
SGA Sarytogan 22.00 15.79 1,009,549 $14,620,483
IOD Iodm Limited 26.50 15.22 264,892 $137,233,923
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Alara Resources (ASX:AUQ) has completed the commissioning and the commencement of concentrate production at its Wash-hi – Majaza Mine and copper concentrate plant in Oman.

AUQ says production will ramp up to full capacity over the next two to three months.

The sale of the first shipment – approximately 1000 dry metric tons of copper concentrate – to Trafigura is expected in April 2024.

The Al Wash-hi – Majaza Mine is owned and operated by Alara’s 51% joint venture company, Al Hadeetha.

Alara MD Atmavireshwar Sthapak says the company is now on its “journey to become a mid-tier mining production company”.

“(This) involves a shift of focus to developing existing exploration projects and new acquisitions.”


Dynamic Metals (ASX:DYM) has entered into a binding term sheet for a farm-in and joint venture with a wholly-owned subsidiary of Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) under which DYM, (*eh, subject to the satisfaction of certain conditions), will sell 40% of all lithium mineral rights held by Dynamic on the Widgiemooltha tenement package for $5mn cash consideration to MIN.

Here’s the juicy:



Fin Resources (ASX:FIN) says a review of recent and historical work across the Ross Project has identified potential U-Th-REE bearing pegmatites, with Director Jason Bontempo calling the find “a very exciting time for FIN.”

Historical sampling completed in 2007 on FIN’s Ross Project identified highly anomalous Uranium in soil sampling up to 1,486 ppm U308 associated with low Thorium.

But the new analysis “identified a significant number of potential Uranium occurrences across the Ross Project.”

FIN are planning to complete a high resolution airborne magnetic and radiometric surveys across the Ross and Cancet West Projects during the Spring/Summer 2024 field season.



Here are the most-worst performing ASX small cap stocks for 5 March [intraday]:

Swipe or scroll to reveal full table. Click headings to sort:

Code Name Price % Change Volume Market Cap
MSG Mcs Services Limited 0.50 -44.44 3,477,800 $1,782,897
HMD Heramed Limited 1.20 -40.00 27,923 $7,064,996
1MC Morella Corporation 0.30 -25.00 723,890 $24,715,198
AHN Athena Resources 0.30 -25.00 1,703,597 $4,281,870
EXT Excite Technology 0.60 -25.00 917,195 $10,633,934
IS3 I Synergy Group Ltd 0.60 -25.00 1,132,723 $2,432,643
OPN Oppenneg 0.60 -25.00 928,750 $9,033,437
X2M X2M Connect Limited 4.10 -21.15 259,018 $13,120,219
JPR Jupiter Energy 1.90 -20.83 90,830 $30,567,653
CTO Citigold Corp Ltd 0.40 -20.00 3,334,000 $15,000,000
LRL Labyrinth Resources 0.40 -20.00 178,526 $5,937,719
NAE New Age Exploration 0.40 -20.00 135,856 $8,969,495
ROG Red Sky Energy. 0.40 -20.00 530,375 $27,111,136
SI6 SI6 Metals Limited 0.40 -20.00 7,414,996 $9,969,297
TMK TMK Energy Limited 0.40 -20.00 31,664 $30,612,897
AQI Alicanto Min Ltd 2.90 -19.44 1,215,916 $22,152,125
STM Sunstone Metals Ltd 1.05 -19.23 18,251,476 $45,508,470
VKA Viking Mines Ltd 0.90 -18.18 5,542,883 $11,277,843
CBY Canterbury Resources 2.70 -18.18 79,497 $5,667,450
HAL Halo Technologies 11.50 -17.86 23,150 $18,129,330
ABE Ausbondexchange 1.50 -16.67 168,108 $2,028,026
EWC Energy World Corpor. 1.50 -16.67 4,720,835 $55,420,582
HT8 Harris Technology Gl 1.00 -16.67 876,234 $3,589,626
JTL Jayex Technology Ltd 0.50 -16.67 1,489,300 $1,687,671
OAR OAR Resources Ltd 0.25 -16.67 330,259 $7,959,933
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ICYMI at Midday

QEM (ASX:QEM) has announced a slight update to the resource uneveiled yesterday for its Julia Creek project in North Queensland, now including a maiden 1C oil shale resource of 6.3 million barrels (MMbbls).

This is on top of the 28% increase to the indicated vanadium resource to 461Mt (2,406Mt remains in the inferred category) and 32% uplift in the 2C oil shale estimate to 94 MMbbls.

Utilising a 90% recovery factor, a 3C oil shale resource of 654 MMbbls.

At Stockhead, we tell it like it is. While Dynamic Metals, Fin Resources and QEM are Stockhead advertisers, they did not sponsor this article.