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The ASX 200 rallied by yet another 1% on Thursday, closely tracking the bullish sentiment on Wall Street overnight.
Traders jumped from bonds to equities as bets that the RBA would raise its rates by 25bp in the February meeting sharpened.
At 2pm AEDT, interbank futures implied a 95% chance of a 25bp increase placed by traders.
The elephant in the room however will be the US CPI data due later tonight, with economists predicting that it will soften compared to last month.
It’s been clear from recent Fed commentaries that policymakers will be sticking to their hawkish script come Feb 1st.
Last night, Fed Reserve Bank of Boston president Susan Collins said she’s leaning toward supporting a 25bp rate hike.
I think everyone is baked when it comes to this week's CPI given Fed officials haven't even hinted at loosening policy until the YoY rate is MUCH closer to 2%…and then there's that QT thing that's roundly disregarded. https://t.co/ONqmdmflMH
— Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth) January 11, 2023
“Another good inflation number tonight could change that as the trend has already been very encouraging, and the jobs data that appeared to throw a spanner in the works last month has since been revised out,” said OANDA analyst, Craig Erlam.
China’s inflation meanwhile was in line with expectations at 1.8% YoY, according to Chinese data released today.
Australia’s trade surplus unexpectedly widened in November to $13.2 billion (from $12.7 billion in October), according to ABS data released this morning.
The surplus is the highest level since a record hit in June, as imports continue to fall.
Back to the ASX where all 11 sectors finished in the green. Mining, Energy and Financial sectors recorded gains of over 1% each.
The Mining Index (ASX:XMJ) has been rallying hard in 2022, and is now only 2% from its April 2022 record high as investors anticipate a Chinese reopening.
Battery metal mining stocks were once again in demand today, with Liontown (ASX:LTR) and Lake Resources (ASX:LKE) each rising by 3%.
Looking ahead to tonight’s session on Wall Street, the US CPI, jobless claims and ECB economic bulletin are all due for release.
Swipe or scroll to reveal the full table. Click headings to sort.
Security | Description | Last | % | Volume | MktCap |
PLS | Pilbara Min Ltd | 4.14 | 3.89 | 22,712,414 | $11,931,918,570 |
LTR | Liontown Resources | 1.56 | 3.67 | 10,212,523 | $3,294,653,025 |
VSL | Vulcan Steel | 8.55 | 3.39 | 82,629 | $1,086,748,890 |
PNV | Polynovo Limited | 2.52 | 3.28 | 1,689,037 | $1,678,729,279 |
ASX | ASX Limited | 68.27 | 3.13 | 343,931 | $12,815,999,724 |
CTD | Corp Travel Limited | 16.74 | 3.08 | 343,502 | $2,376,330,115 |
CNI | Centuria Capital | 1.86 | 3.05 | 381,347 | $1,437,498,356 |
WAF | West African Res Ltd | 1.25 | 2.89 | 1,043,950 | $1,237,638,812 |
BLD | Boral Limited | 3.18 | 2.75 | 985,469 | $3,408,543,215 |
NAN | Nanosonics Limited | 4.59 | 2.68 | 614,311 | $1,350,071,954 |
WEB | Webjet Limited | 6.64 | 2.63 | 1,812,559 | $2,475,011,051 |
SVW | Seven Group | 22.41 | 2.47 | 298,511 | $7,944,509,060 |
DHG | Domain Holdings Aus | 2.91 | 2.46 | 509,462 | $1,793,906,315 |
FMG | Fortescue Metals Grp | 22.84 | 2.42 | 5,975,358 | $68,660,917,671 |
ANZ Banking Group (ASX:ANZ) rose 1.5% as the company reported its top 20 shareholders after the bell last night.
Polynovo (ASX:PNV) rose almost 3% as the company lodged its JP Morgan Healthcare Conference presentation slides post-trade yesterday ahead of an overnight presentation.
Swipe or scroll to reveal the full table. Click headings to sort.
Security | Description | Last | % | Volume | MktCap |
NHC | New Hope | 5.91 | -3.83 | 5,971,647 | $5,417,134,589 |
SYA | Sayona Mining Ltd | 0.23 | -3.19 | 29,656,391 | $2,041,149,372 |
YAL | Yancoal Aust Ltd | 6.11 | -3.17 | 2,297,262 | $8,331,972,847 |
SMR | Stanmore Resources | 3.15 | -3.08 | 1,276,699 | $2,929,490,519 |
GOR | Gold Road Res Ltd | 1.79 | -2.99 | 2,614,182 | $1,979,715,428 |
MEZ | Meridian Energy | 4.76 | -2.66 | 108,185 | $6,178,585,597 |
PSI | Psc Insurance Ltd | 4.97 | -2.36 | 14,095 | $1,802,585,865 |
WHC | Whitehaven Coal | 8.64 | -2.26 | 12,521,320 | $7,973,655,787 |
CEN | Contact Energy Ltd | 7.18 | -2.05 | 4,200 | $1,834,854,227 |
TLX | Telix Pharmaceutical | 6.24 | -2.04 | 833,274 | $2,015,103,445 |
29M | 29Metalslimited | 2.27 | -1.52 | 912,918 | $1,107,119,028 |
IMU | Imugene Limited | 0.16 | -1.52 | 6,281,739 | $1,059,583,091 |