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Closing Bell: Small caps crash as chilling China news puts ASX Resources on thin ice

BEIJING, CHINA -NOVEMBER 27: A protester holds a candle during a protest against Chinas strict zero COVID measures on November 27, 2022 in Beijing, China. Protesters took to the streets in multiple Chinese cities after a deadly apartment fire in Xinjiang province sparked a national outcry as many blamed COVID restrictions for the deaths. (Photo by Kevin Frayer/Getty Images)

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  • ASX 200 down -0.4%
  • Small cap index loses -1.7%
  •  Way2VAT: killing it in the VAT space

The small caps index has been smashed on Monday as the local Energy and Resources Sectors took fright from what is easily the scariest social unrest across China since 1989, and that culminated in the June 4th Tiananmen Square massacre.

 

The ASX200 benchmark was down 0.4% at 4pm AEST. The Emerging Companies Index (XEC) had lost 1.7% when the bell rang.

Resources were already on thin ice.

Crude oil prices instantly regressed way back to levels not seen since Christmas last year – when we were still getting ripped off – but not as badly. With violence on the streets around China, forward-looking demand for key commodities is on immediate hiatus.

It’s likely the Aussie dollar, the Aussie commodities complex and Apple Inc (among other riskier assets) are about to cop a truncheon to the head and likely wake up to find themselves on a familiar firing line after various commentators prematurely speculated regarding zero-COVID, Chinese tech stocks, a domestic retail recovery, property stimulus and a reemerging Chinese economy – none of which matter if the tanks return.

Also of little import, Dr Philip Lowe’s belated apology this morning for the Reserve Bank’s bullish tenor in the years leading up to record breaking inflation.

The tune the RBA took during it’s historic pandemic-period of stimulative policies, really did leave them dancing in the aisles all the way to the mortgage shop.

Back then inflation really was just a quirky, transitory distraction, whose pants didn’t need pulling up until well into 2024.

Looking for positives and still bullish on Aussie equities is James Gerrish and his team of stock pickers at Market Matters.

Last week’s benchmark rise of well over 100 points was all part of the plan for Gerrish, who particularly enjoyed the “solid performances from the unsung heroes in the Utilities and Real Estate Sectors.”

Gerrish says that while last week was “a mixed bag” as lithium and ESG stocks experienced some “fairly aggressive” profit taking, sometimes it’s simply time to pull the fish in.

“Falls are not always “profit taking” but the ESG stocks have run so hard in 2022 that the strong likelihood is most of the selling has resulted in a positive contribution to investors bottom line.

Are we still on for Christmas?

“No change, we still believe Australian equities can rally into Christmas but it’s hard to imagine a significant upside move from current levels with all-time highs now only ~5% away,” Gerrish says. “If we see a sharp dip below 7100 the risk/reward will again look attractive for short-term players into Christmas.”

 

ASX SMALL CAP LEADERS

Here are the best performing ASX small cap stocks:

Swipe or scroll to reveal full table. Click headings to sort:

Security Description Last % Volume MktCap
CDT Castle Minerals 0.029 38% 20,647,573 $20,989,353
TSK Task Group Holdings 0.375 34% 477,770 $99,344,508
IEC Intra Energy Corp 0.008 33% 2,024,167 $3,634,690
DXN DXN Limited 0.006 33% 21,876,955 $7,745,917
AVM Advance Metals Ltd 0.013 30% 300,000 $4,820,441
ODY Odyssey Gold Ltd 0.049 26% 7,622,653 $23,987,864
CFO Cfoam Limited 0.0025 25% 141,076 $1,467,681
YPB YPB Group Ltd 0.005 25% 202,619 $1,626,185
M24 Mamba Exploration 0.135 23% 7,216,159 $4,639,250
COY Coppermoly Limited 0.011 22% 23,861 $19,745,612
HIQ Hitiq Limited 0.035 21% 159,168 $3,281,529
INV Investsmart Group 0.3 20% 110,964 $34,899,800
W2V Way2Vatltd 0.03 20% 1,879,799 $4,446,105
CHK Cohiba Min Ltd 0.006 20% 731,500 $8,138,304
MHC Manhattan Corp Ltd 0.006 20% 2,201,272 $7,631,393
AWV Anova Metals Ltd 0.019 19% 7,339,448 $25,569,507
RSH Respiri Limited 0.045 18% 689,956 $30,446,981
NC1 Nico Resources 0.73 18% 414,350 $54,513,501
GRV Greenvale Mining Ltd 0.11 17% 267,103 $39,641,888
AOA Ausmon Resorces 0.007 17% 4,668,823 $5,143,736
GES Genesis Resources 0.007 17% 300,000 $4,697,048
XTC Xantippe Res Ltd 0.007 17% 3,235,519 $48,871,379
MHI Merchant House 0.065 16% 15,000 $5,278,924
TG1 Techgen Metals Ltd 0.11 16% 542,873 $5,201,151
MBKDA Metal Bank Ltd 0.037 16% 587,698 $8,368,793
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It’s always nice when a local lad comes good and Aussie-listed Way2VAT (ASX:W2V), is one when it comes to the global ‘automated VAT claim and return solutions’ sector.

W2V on Monday has reported a”strong finish to the financial year” with an annualised gross transaction volume run rate of $19.47 million, which includes transactions coming from its recent acquisition of DevoluIVA.

The numbers represent a 43% increase on the previous 12 months (FY21 $13.57 million), and a very handy 170% gain on FY20 ($7.24 million).

Way2VAT CEO and Founder, Amos Simantov, reckons the gun performance was mainly due to operating conditions for business travel returning to pre-COVID levels, increasing usage through platform partners and enterprise customers, as well as the “successful integration of the recent DevoluIVA acquisition and the broadening of the product suite with the introduction of the Smart Spend Debit Mastercard.”

“Way2VAT is expecting a strong finish to FY22, traditionally a strong time of year, with business travel beginning to normalise,” he said.

Even better the company expects a cut in the time tax authorities take to process claims, (returning to the pre-COVID average of 7.5 months).

“This processing time, from when we submit our claims to tax authorities (and recognise our fee as revenue) to when we receive it (and it appears in our cash receipts) had blown out to 15 months in several jurisdictions during COVID lockdown periods.

“We have seen a significant increase in transaction volume through business travel expenses and accounts payable and VAT claims following the European summer,” he added.

Simantov reckons the DevoluIVA is also progressing well.

“We are already recognising significant transaction volume and revenue through their national network and looking to fully harness the full product suite into Spanish-speaking markets with similar accounts payable, expense and VAT structures.”

The share price is up heaps.

Also doing very well on Monday is TASK Group (ASX:TSK) after delivering some lovely half-year results for the six months to 30 September 2022.

In fact the company says 1H23, brought about “a transformation in the Group’s earnings performance and growth outlook.”

This what I see:

  • Revenue growth to $26.6m (+97% on pcp)
  • Good turnaround in adjusted EBITDA to +$2.0m ( from -$7.0m pcp)
  • Cash balance of $24.2m looks like it’s doubled

Shares on a tear.

ASX SMALL CAP LAGGARDS

Here are the least performing ASX small cap stocks:

Swipe or scroll to reveal full table. Click headings to sort:

Security Description Last % Volume MktCap
T3D 333D Limited 0.001 -50% 4,976 $6,378,635
PRM Prominence Energy 0.001 -33% 11,941 $3,636,913
WBE Whitebark Energy 0.001 -33% 256,073 $9,697,329
CCX City Chic Collective 0.69 -31% 15,624,304 $230,760,486
QPM Queensland Pacific 0.1225 -30% 52,863,133 $305,610,886
TSC Twenty Seven Co. Ltd 0.0015 -25% 9,393,398 $10,643,256
CBH Coolabah Metals Limi 0.09 -25% 28,887 $4,044,000
HIO Hawsons Iron Ltd 0.091 -24% 24,270,490 $88,926,354
AEV Avenira Limited 0.028 -22% 31,008,565 $44,244,596
DW8 DW8 Limited 0.002 -20% 2,817,771 $7,753,807
G50 Gold50 Limited 0.2 -18% 108,508 $13,951,035
FFF Forbidden Foods 0.041 -18% 754,298 $5,170,155
CI1 Credit Intelligence 0.19 -17% 131,626 $19,204,807
ATV Active Por Group 0.1 -17% 79,581 $18,771,525
PYR Payright Limited 0.055 -17% 113,371 $5,162,138
GLH Global Health Ltd 0.21 -16% 177,953 $14,500,845
AFA ASF Group Limited 0.042 -16% 26,500 $39,628,689
MIL Millennium Grp Ltd 0.43 -16% 20,170 $23,933,412
EM1 Emerge Gaming Ltd 0.011 -15% 1,363,262 $14,576,053
HRE Heavy Rare Earths 0.14 -15% 65,046 $9,815,508
EOS Electro Optic Sys. 0.565 -15% 1,260,874 $113,871,944
TLG Talga Group Ltd 1.41 -15% 1,341,542 $551,640,738
NES Nelson Resources 0.006 -14% 5,080,872 $4,120,160
PUA Peak Minerals Ltd 0.006 -14% 24,478 $7,289,595
NGL Nightingale Intel 0.13 -13% 174,854 $14,512,307
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TRADING HALTS

Atturra (ASX:ATA) – Capital Raise.

Pilot Energy (ASX:PGY) – Capital Raise.

Metallica Minerals (ASX:MLM) – Capital Raise.

Microba Life Sciences (ASX:MAP) – Announcement regarding a strategic investment and commercial partnership.

Viking Mines (ASX:VKA) – Announcement of a potential Project Farm-in Agreement

Kogi Mining (ASX:KFE) – Acquisition and capital raising

 

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