Mooners and Shakers: Can a US dollar ‘double top’ help Bitcoin and Ethereum break out?

This Bitcoin metaphor might not get very far in the current macro police state. (Getty Images)

Bitcoin and Ethereum are lying flat in a tight tunnel, inching their way towards the end of the week. You know… like Steve McQueen in The Great Escape. Maybe a flagging US dollar is the light they need.
Some analysts are seeing the US Dollar Index (DXY) potentially forming a double top on its chart right now. If that’s the case, then shackles will likely break and a risk-asset bust-out could ensue, as US trader/analyst Scott “Wolf of All Streets” Melker posits below in the “party time” side of his coin flip.
$DXY (Dollar Index)
Consolidating below key local resistance or a future double top in the making?
If it's the former, everything will get rekt.
If it's the latter, then markets have bottomed for now and it's party time. pic.twitter.com/3c00iVkzeF
— The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) August 25, 2022
And although we admit we’re headlining this hopium-filled thought (rebellions, hope and all that), we’d probably best not get too carried away with the idea. There’s still a very strong chance a hawkish US Federal Reserve awaits escaping crypto prisoners emerging through the Jackson Hole in, oh… roughly 14 hours or so.
But, the short-term fact (subject to immediate change) is that the DXY has hit some resistance and is showing the very initial stage of a trend down with some sign of bearish divergence on its RSI (relative strength index).
$dxy $109 resistance held, trending down off the double top line.
Buy #bitcoin pic.twitter.com/7q2kFu0U6X
— Miles Taylor (@MilesTaylor47) August 25, 2022
Guess we’ll find out very soon enough if this is pure fantasy of the not-particularly-sexy inverse-correlation kind, and your favourite cryptographically secured assets are bound for more pain.
Onto some daily price action…
Top 10 overview
With the overall crypto market cap at US$1.09 trillion and up about 1.5% since yesterday, here’s the current state of play among top 10 tokens – according to CoinGecko.

Just a tiny ray of sunlight poking through here for the crypto majors. Is Ethereum showing some signs of pre-Merge strength? Go-to Dutch analyst Michaël van de Poppe thinks it might be.
#Ethereum indeed reacting on the first level of importance and showing strength.
All eyes on $BTC if $ETH wants to gain USD value, but the $BTC pair is way stronger.
Cracking the high and 0.10 seems to be next pre-merge. pic.twitter.com/uwLop7tBWl
— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) August 25, 2022
Another analytical Crypto Twitter account meanwhile thinks US$1,700 is the mark for ETH to act as a rising tide for altcoin boats…
if you want an altseason $ETH has to successfully reclaim 1700$ pic.twitter.com/9DX3aO5Ctr
— Teddy (@TeddyCleps) August 25, 2022
Not bearishly realistic enough for you? Then just for balance, here’s not such a great sign… According to crypto market-intelligence platform Santiment, Ethereum whales (big bag holders), have been moving a good deal of their holdings onto large crypto exchanges such as Binance just lately, ahead of the Merge…
📊 #Ethereum's price continues following tightly with the #SP500 as global uncertainties continue. The supply of $ETH on exchanges rose sharply just prior to the drop last week, and network growth has fallen back to 3-month low levels. Our full analysis: https://t.co/70kbsMS1DQ pic.twitter.com/q8TvXdViqW
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) August 25, 2022
What does this mean? Inflows of crypto onto exchanges is considered bearish and can foreshadow traders/investors looking to dump/take profit on their tokens.
Maybe, though, as another American crypto analyst Alex Krüger suggests, Ethereum’s pre-Merge narrative still has some pumpage to go, before a potential “sell the news” pullback. The Merge, by the way, is now slated to begin as early as September 6, completing somewhere between September 10-20, according to the Ethereum Foundation.
$BTC dumped 20% two days before the halving, and 10% hours before the halving. A classic case of positioning driven "sell the news".
Would make sense for $ETH to do the same on the merge *IF* price runs hot into it (i.e. strong run higher in the 1-2 weeks prior to the merge). pic.twitter.com/0NKJ2lbm2D
— Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) August 25, 2022

Uppers and downers: 11–100
Sweeping a market-cap range of about US$8.8 billion to about US$459 million in the rest of the top 100, let’s find some of the biggest 24-hour gainers and losers at press time. (Stats accurate at time of publishing, based on CoinGecko.com data.)
DAILY PUMPERS
• Shiba Inu (SHIB), (market cap: US$8.2 billion) +7%
• BitDAO (BIT), (mc: US$600 million) +7%
• Ethereum Classic (ETC), (mc: US$5 billion) +5%
• Aave (AAVE), (mc: US$1.3 billion) +5%
• Decred (DCR), (mc: US$489 million) +4%
DAILY SLUMPERS
• Celsius (CEL), (market cap: US$487 million) -8%
• Lido DAO (LDO), (mc: US$1.16 billion) -8%
• Chiliz (CHZ), (mc: US$1.198 billion) -7%
• Helium (HNT), (mc: US$849 million) -5%
• Leo Token (LEO), (mc: US$4.8 billion) -3%
Around the blocks
A selection of randomness and pertinence that stuck with us on our morning moves through the Crypto Twitterverse…
JUST IN: World's biggest #Bitcoin ATM firm to go public on Nasdaq in $885 million deal 🇺🇸
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) August 25, 2022
#SPX pumping, crypto should follow soon
— il Capo Of Crypto (@CryptoCapo_) August 25, 2022
Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, Argentina, and Iran are applying to join BRICS.
BRICS already has 40% of world population, and over 25% of GDP. These members would add massive control over oil and food production.
A new world order is emerging and it will not be led by the USA.
— Lark Davis (@TheCryptoLark) August 25, 2022
💥BREAKING: Intel has struck $30B deal to build a new chip factory – part of which will be used to build #Bitcoin mining chips. 🙌
— Bitcoin Archive (@BTC_Archive) August 25, 2022
Windows 95 launched this day in 1995.
“Start Me Up” was its anthem: pic.twitter.com/aLh4lyk8iR
— Jon Erlichman (@JonErlichman) August 24, 2022
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