Mooners and Shakers: Bitcoin and crypto market flat ahead of Fed meeting. (Aside from DOGE, that is)
Coinhead
Coinhead
FOMC pain or FOMO? It’s crunch time for the US economy, stonks, Bitcoin and the crypto market, as the US Federal Reserve – da Fed – meets to discuss financial puppet mastery.
As Stockhead‘s most excellent Eddy Sunarto wrote this morning, a 75 basis points interest-rate hike is widely predicted and “it will be difficult for the Fed to deliver a dovish market (later tonight AEST) as fresh data releases continue to paint a buoyant economy”.
That said, if the Fed does deliver on the expectation of another hawkish hike this time around, but gives off even the slightest hint that it’s even a chance of easing things over coming months, then perhaps that could spark some upside movement in markets.
On the other hand, a hawkish surprise in the form of a 100 bps hike and/or more hikes than forecast wouldn't go over so well with risk assets.
But hawkish surprises aren't what the Fed is known for.
— Justin Bennett (@JustinBennettFX) November 1, 2022
Analysts will be listening intently to the words from cautious Fed boss Jerome Powell’s tight-lipped mouth at the central bank’s FOMC meeting. Either way, strap in for volatility. Or just switch off your devices and try to get a decent night’s sleep for a change.
Meanwhile, there has been some confusion around something US President Joe Biden apparently said. Yeah, we know that statement alone is not head-turning news, but it’s still sorta amusing.
It was made up after all pic.twitter.com/JdDKMeMqnp
— Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) November 1, 2022
Chief Economist and Economic Policy Adviser to Vice President of United States, Jared Bernstein, reportedly confirmed the following:
“Biden has endorsed Fed’s policy pivot.”
Only to then clarify that the endorsement regarded the Fed’s earlier pivot this year – to, uh, tighten and hike rates. Great… way to get the hopes up, Joe. A warm cup of cocoa and back to bed, then.
This is an utter communication disaster from US policymakers.
And to make things worse, it happens during a scheduled blackout period ahead of a crucial Fed meeting.
Get a grip, people.
— Alf (@MacroAlf) November 1, 2022
Annnnyway, onto some crypto price action.
With the overall crypto market cap at US$1.06 trillion, trading pretty flat since this time yesterday, here’s the current state of play among top 10 tokens – according to CoinGecko.
Not much going on here, then – the crypto majors are all merely consolidating into the Fed announcement and patiently waiting to see wha… okay, yeah, we see you DOGE.
Dogecoin just won’t quit right now. Another 12% 24-hour gain has pushed its surge over the past week to a whopping 135%.
And it’s been bringing a few other doggy coin mates along for the ride. Another meme coin star Shiba Inu (SHIB) is now up about 30% over the past seven days, while Dogelon Mars (ELON), Baby Doge Coin (BABYDOGE), and Floki (FLOKI) are all enjoying stupidly slobbering success just lately, too.
Is anyone seeing a pullback on this stuff? Stupid question – of course they are. It can’t just keep going up in a straight line.
Approaching major resistance. 🔨 incoming. pic.twitter.com/7JyUoUptMw
— il Capo Of Crypto (@CryptoCapo_) November 1, 2022
eToro analyst Simon Peters shared the following with Stockhead via email this morning, regarding the DOGE pump:
“Investors should treat such price spikes with care. The recent spike has catapulted Dogecoin to sixth largest cryptoasset by market cap, ahead of the likes of Cardano. Although it’s perfectly conceivable that Musk’s move has altered the investment case of the token, if you look at other businesses such as Tesla, adoption has been limited.”
Heed taken. Meanwhile, we’re still seeing plenty of rabid foaming at the mouth for Elon Musk’s favourite cryptocurrency, and some pretty wild predictions/targets.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 1, 2022
$DOGE macro ,
Once wave 4 is done, target for last wave 5 is 2-5$. pic.twitter.com/vkmREBWrQf— ᴀʟᴛꜱᴛʀᴇᴇᴛ ʙᴇᴛꜱ (@AltstreetBet) November 1, 2022
Moving on, here’s an outlook on the total crypto market cap, from Dutch trader/analyst Michaël van de Poppe. Despite the Fed-related uncertainty, he’s quite positive.
Expecting a retest of the 200-Week MA on the Total market capitalization for #crypto.
And then we're good to test higher levels.
First stop; $1.2T.
This means #Bitcoin around $25K. pic.twitter.com/AQzCv9cYii— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) November 1, 2022
Sweeping a market-cap range of about US$7.8 billion to about US$422 million in the rest of the top 100, let’s find some of the biggest 24-hour gainers and losers at press time. (Stats accurate at time of publishing, based on CoinGecko.com data.)
DAILY PUMPERS
• Rocket Pool (RPL), (market cap: US$448 million) +13%
• BTSE Token (BTSE), (mc: US$598 million) +6%
• Shiba Inu (SHIB), (mc: US$7.6 billion) +4%
• Aptos (APT), (mc: US$1.07 billion) +4%
• Uniswap (UNI), (mc: US$5.4 billion) +3%
DAILY SLUMPERS
• WhiteBIT Token (WBT), (market cap: US$1.18 billion) -14%
• Tokenize Xchange (TKX), (mc: US$1.36 billion) -10%
• Zcash (ZEC), (mc: US$651 million) -5%
• EthereumPoW (ETHW), (mc: US$675 billion) -5%
• Klaytn (KLAY), (mc: US$756 million) -4%
There’s some definite chaff down here. Occasional wheat, too. Remember to DYOR.
• IdeaChain (ICH), (market cap: US$10.78 million) +701%
• MUSK Gold (MUSK), (mc: US$1.28 million) 201%
• Rarible (RARI), (mc: US$47 million) +57%
• Manifold Finance (FOLD), (mc: US$52 million) +37%
• Wilder World (WILD), (mc: US$25 million) +11%
DAILY SLUMPERS
• Enecuum (ENQ), (market cap: US$8.4 million) -21%
• Groestlcoin (GRS), (mc: US$31 million) -12%
• Dejitaru Tsuka (TSUKA), (mc: US$52 million) -8%
• Illuvium (ILV), (mc: US$96 million) -5%
• Ethereum Name Service (ENS), (mc: US$416 million) -5%
A selection of randomness and pertinence that stuck with us on our morning moves through the Crypto Twitterverse…
ECB president Lagarde: "Inflation has come out of nowhere". pic.twitter.com/kydxxuedfd
— Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) November 1, 2022
You can mine more gold, but you can’t mine more than 21m #Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/KNXe5nJGPE
— Miles Deutscher (@milesdeutscher) November 1, 2022
how to get whitelisted on an NFT project:
— LilMoonLambo (@LilMoonLambo) October 31, 2022
We need to pay the bills somehow! Twitter cannot rely entirely on advertisers. How about $8?
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 1, 2022
I will explain the rationale in longer form before this is implemented. It is the only way to defeat the bots & trolls.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 1, 2022
JUST IN: 🇸🇬 VISA to launch #Bitcoin and crypto debit cards in Singapore in partnership with Crypto .com
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) November 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/FredSchultz35/status/1587185023077195779