• Local shares finished 0.25% lower on Monday
  • Autralian retail sales fall in Q4
  • BNPL sector came under pressure

 

The ASX 200 index closed Monday 0.25% lower as it tracked movements on Wall Street.

Energy and Mining sectors rose half a percent, while all other sectors were in the red.

Investors were downbeat after the latest Australian retail figures show a 0.2% fall in Q4.

CBA economist, Stephen Wu, said,”With another rate hike expected at the February RBA Board meeting, and a large stock of fixed rate debt due to rollover over this year, demand will only weaken further from here.”

The RBA will convene for its first meeting of the year tomorrow, and according to a Reuters poll, 30 out of 31 economists expect a 25bp hike to 3.35%.

That would be the central bank’s fourth consecutive 25bp hike, and ninth back-to-back hike this cycle – which is the most aggressive in history.

“Still, there is evidence that the (relatively low) interest rate is starting to bite on the economy,” said Matt Simpson, a senior market analyst at City Index.

“If we look at data since their last meeting, it could be argued the economy is slowing overall.

“Retail sales dipped for the first time in a year in Q4 by -0.2% q/q, as consumers cut back spending. This could be taken as a sign from the RBA that their tighter policy is working,” Simpson said.

Newcrest Mining (ASX:NCM) was the best large cap performer today, up 10% after US mining giant Newmont upgraded its all-scrip offer when the first one was rejected.

Newmont is now offering Newcrest shareholders 0.380 Newmont shares for each Newcrest share, after previously offering 0.363 shares.

Singapore iron ore futures have dropped to a near three-week, pushing iron ore miners like Fortescue (ASX:FMG) lower today.

Meanwhile, the BNPL sector came under pressure  after the collapse and demise of BNPL play and small capped Openpay (ASX:OPY). Sector leader Block Inc (ASX:SQ2) fell 1% on the news.

Looking ahead to tonight, the US market will be interesting as US-China tensions have increased with the downing of a monitoring balloon belonging to China in US territory. China has responded with a threat of ‘serious repercussions’.

 

BIG CAP WINNERS

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Security Description Last % Volume MktCap
NCM Newcrest Mining 24.64 9.73 11,870,063 $20,063,763,054
BPT Beach Energy Limited 1.54 3.70 10,996,217 $3,387,780,479
PXA Pexagroup 13.46 2.98 412,356 $2,317,648,049
IPL Incitec Pivot 3.52 2.78 10,409,491 $6,642,409,599
CRN Coronado Global Res 2.13 2.66 2,450,278 $3,470,259,221
WHC Whitehaven Coal 8.44 2.62 6,021,936 $7,309,652,763
CPU Computershare Ltd 24.62 2.54 1,568,917 $14,495,541,357
AUB AUB Group Ltd 24.76 2.53 212,352 $2,451,962,010
NHC New Hope 5.92 2.25 3,579,166 $5,108,340,272
VUK Virgin Money Uk PLC 3.32 2.15 2,993,151 $2,398,265,932
TPG TPG Telecom Limited 4.78 2.14 1,476,004 $8,701,719,011
OCL Objective Corp 13.88 2.13 37,172 $1,292,505,734
BGA Bega Cheese Ltd 3.72 2.06 554,715 $1,106,190,820
NUF Nufarm Limited 5.82 1.93 465,770 $2,172,183,942
SMR Stanmore Resources 3.53 1.88 589,086 $3,118,780,675
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Beach Energy (ASX:BPT) jumped 4% after getting an upgrade from Morgans.

 

BIG CAP LOSERS

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Security Description Last % Volume MktCap
NCK Nick Scali Limited 10.805 -13.00 2,551,664 $1,006,020,000
SDR Siteminder 4.030 -6.93 172,739 $1,190,121,596
SYA Sayona Mining Ltd 0.245 -5.77 46,046,620 $2,259,302,337
LKE Lake Resources 0.760 -5.59 6,354,907 $1,143,055,486
PDN Paladin Energy Ltd 0.758 -5.31 15,988,377 $2,384,078,164
CXO Core Lithium 1.070 -5.31 14,918,420 $2,089,780,719
AGY Argosy Minerals Ltd 0.708 -5.03 4,972,620 $1,046,283,586
BRN Brainchip Ltd 0.633 -4.89 6,530,130 $1,175,093,666
ARU Arafura Rare Earths 0.595 -4.80 14,583,301 $1,317,901,881
CCP Credit Corp Group 22.045 -4.77 155,777 $1,575,747,716
HVN Harvey Norman 4.205 -4.65 3,899,987 $5,494,889,344
LTR Liontown Resources 1.488 -4.65 9,733,672 $3,426,439,146
PWH Pwr Holdings Limited 11.475 -4.53 238,725 $1,206,571,687
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Nick Scali (ASX:NCK) plunged 12% despite profit increasing by 70% during the half to $60.6m.

Revenue for the half was $283.9 million, up 57.4% from the pcp.