Air travel bellwether Singapore Airlines suffers $1bn net loss

Airline travel industry in turmoil as Singapore Airlines posts record loss
The grim condition of the international air travel industry has been laid bare by industry bellwether Singapore Airlines which has posted a massive loss as a result of COVID-19 travel restrictions.
The net loss of $S1.1bn ($1.12bn) in the April-June 2020 quarter is Singapore Airlines highest on record, and is down from a profit of $S111m for the corresponding 2019 period.
Revenues for the group plunged 79 per cent year on year to $S851m for the April-June quarter from $S4.1bn in Q2 2019.
Some analysts suggest the red ink will keep flowing in the airline’s accounts.
“Projecting [a] $S2.2bn loss for Singapore Airlines in financial year 2021, as we assume international travel to normalise only in mid-2021,” said analysts at Singapore-based bank DBS in a note Wednesday.
Australia’s airline sector is also struggling.
Passenger traffic slump
Passenger numbers on the airline’s three carriers – Singapore Airlines, SilkAir and Scoot — slumped 99.5 per cent year on year in the April-June 2020 quarter.
The company said it will take two to four years for passenger traffic to recover to pre-COVID-19 levels.
The airline is pruning its costs and exploring alternative ways of increasing its cash position.
Singapore Airlines has cut salaries, and capacity across its network, deferred non-essential projects, and negotiated terms with its aircraft makers and suppliers.
It carried out an equity raising for $S11bn earlier this year.
Share price floundering
Singapore Airlines’ share price dipped 3.4 per cent to $S3.40 ($3.46) Thursday on the Singapore Exchange after its results announcement.
Its share price had been in recovery mode from a low of $S2.03 in March, and had got back up to $S4.41 in early May.
Some airline stock analysts suggest a COVID-19 vaccine could be a magic bullet for carriers such as Singapore Airlines.
“An effective COVID-19 vaccine by early 2021 would help international air travel to recover,” said DBS bank which has a price target for Singapore Airlines of $S3.75/share.
The bank noted that six vaccine candidates for COVID-19 are in phase three clinical trials, giving hope that a human vaccine would be ready in early 2021.
Other airlines affected
Singapore Airlines is not alone in battling the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The combined market capitalisation of the world’s five largest airline companies has collapsed by $US40bn ($56bn) since January, according to UK investment website Buy Shares.
At the start of the year, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Air France, Lufthansa Group and United Airlines were together worth $US77.8bn, and this is down to $US37bn, it said.
Airlines’ passenger revenue is forecast to drop by $US300bn in 2020, according to Buy Shares’ analysis.
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