Mooners and Shakers: Bitcoin steady as analysts look lower and CommBank hits pause on crypto pilot
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Bitcoin is attempting another crack at US$30k support at the time of writing. But there’s hardly oodles of confidence in the market right now – something CommBank is across.
Last November, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia revealed its planned foray into the world of crypto trading. Australia’s largest bank then announced a pilot program for a service that would ultimately enable more than 6.5 million CommBank app users to buy and sell up to 10 cryptos, including , , and .
The program was underway, too, but as of today its pause button has been hit, with no exact timeframe yet as to when it will resume. The dust stirred up from the Terra LUNA fiasco might need to settle first.
As uncertainty reigns over the market, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia has paused the launch of its planned crypto trading service. pic.twitter.com/IXpUAPa4KU
— Mr. Block™ (@mrblock_com) May 19, 2022
Ah well, onwards and upwards… (after chopping sideways or potentially falling off another cliff first).
With the overall crypto market cap at roughly US$1.35 trillion, up 3.6% since this time yesterday, here’s the current state of play among top 10 tokens – according to CoinGecko.
It’s looking just slightly healthier than this time yesterday, as is the industry’s number one sentiment indicator – the Crypto Fear & Greed Index – which we had thought could be a single digit today.
It’s actually up one point out of 100 since Wednesday, which makes it only very marginally less likely to wet its pants in its extremely fearful state.
So what are various analysts seeing today? WhaleMap, which tracks and analyses the trading patterns and movements of large Bitcoin investors, is spotting support levels a fair bit lower than the US$30k the market’s shooting for right now.
About US$24k to $26k is where it’s at, apparently, otherwise… see you down in “goblin town” as the crypto kidz say.
Lets keep it simple
Do or die supports for #Bitcoin right now are:
This or we going much deeper pic.twitter.com/h6PEHL2HDz
— whalemap (@whale_map) May 19, 2022
Want something more short-term bullish? Yesterday we said @Roman_Trading has been fairly consistently bearish in recent months, but a good five hours ago (at the time of writing), he was spotting an “inverted head and shoulders” pattern on a low timeframe. That often precedes a move up, although it may have already played out, pulling Bitcoin back above US$30k again.
Not saying it’s a move that’ll sustain, but it seems he’s made another correct short-term call.
Not a fan of LTF but I pointed out low volume going into 28.6k support last night. That generally signals a bounce is at play or at least more consolidation.
— Roman (@Roman_Trading) May 19, 2022
Meanwhile, another solid chart watcher, Rekt Capital is one trader who’s been eyeing off the RSI (relative strength index) – which is a “momentum indicator that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to analyse overbought or oversold conditions”, according to Investopedia.
Seeing the Bitcoin RSI this low and “overold” seems kind of tantalising, indicating a market bottom could, in theory, be near.
#BTC RSI is now entering a period that has historically preceded outsized Returns On Investment for long-term investors
Previous reversals from this area include January 2015, December 2018, and March 2020
— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) May 19, 2022
But… then again… as author and trader “Cheds” pointed out recently, RSI trends can hang around for a long time.
Quick reminder as $BTC RSI approaches “oversold” on larger time frames.
Being “oversold” is a better reason to sell than buy.
Trends tend to continue. RSI can stay “oversold” or “overbought” for a long time.
— Cheds (@BigCheds) May 9, 2022
Sweeping a market-cap range of about US$11.3 billion to about US$563 million in the rest of the top 100, let’s find some of the biggest 24-hour gainers and losers at press time.
• XDC Network (XDC), (market cap: US$589 million) +11%
• Gala (GALA), (mc: US$639 million) +7%
• Synthetix (SNX), (mc: US$604 million) 7%
• Cosmos (ATOM), (mc: US$3.16 billion) 5%
• The Sandbox (SAND), (mc: US$1.59 billion) 5%
• TerraUSD (UST), (market cap: US$891 million) ($0.078) -22%
• Terra (LUNA), (mc: US$919 million) -19%
• Chain (XCN), (mc: US$1.56 billion) -15%
• Convex Finance (CVX), (mc: US$640 million) -6%
• Waves (WAVES), (mc: US$617 million) -5%
Moving below the crypto unicorns (in some cases well below), here’s just a selection catching our eye…
• DIA (DIA), (market cap: US$43m) +48%
• Marlin (POND), (mc: US$44 million) +41%
• PolySwarm (NCT), (mc: US$37m) +36%
• Keep3rV1 (KP3R), (mc: US$57m) +35%
• RAMP (RAMP), (mc: US$18m) +29%
• Goldfinch (GFI), (market cap: US$13m) -21%
• Retreeb (TREEB), (mc: US$16m) -18%
• Tokemak (TOKE), (mc: US$72m) -16%
• UniLend Finance (UFT), (mc: US$15m) -16%
• Anchor Protocol (ANC), (mc: US$36m) -13%
A lot of new macro-economic experts in the last week popping up talking about recession this and recession that. Feels like getting a tip from the barber or taxi driver when you're this far into the recessional pregnancy. Nov was the time to be an expert. Not -70% later lol
— Pentoshi 🐧 (@Pentosh1) May 19, 2022
They can have their moment.
— Erik Voorhees (@ErikVoorhees) May 19, 2022
— InvestAnswers (@invest_answers) May 19, 2022
Elon, 2021: “We’ll stop accepting BTC in the Tesla web store until bitcoin mining becomes more ESG compliant”
Elon when Tesla stonk gets downgraded by S&P 500 due to lack of ESG compliance: “ESG is woke leftist compliance bullshit”
Oh, how the tables turn @elonmusk
— Vlad "BTCTKVR.com" Costea ⚡️ (@TheVladCostea) May 19, 2022
My POV: The biggest two biggest themes were:
1. Web3 studios have to build great games. It starts there. Without a great game, web3 gaming doesn’t matter.
2. Great games take time. Be patient and build wisely to navigate the market highs and lows.
— Chaseᵍᵐ (🥃, 🦉) @ Permissionless (@itsmechase) May 19, 2022
— Shibetoshi Nakamoto (@BillyM2k) May 19, 2022